Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 57.067894 65.110873 73.370868 82.453186 92.125920 102.088650 113.095037
2025-12-21 43.331981 54.581424 66.722001 80.652214 96.058582 112.455307 131.108416
2025-12-28 38.058946 51.410586 66.315418 83.890666 103.779462 125.353530 150.301604
2026-01-04 33.265377 48.029282 65.034587 85.575997 109.279453 135.398093 166.001409
2026-01-11 28.295998 43.811047 62.261063 85.077993 111.895934 141.874727 177.417911
2026-01-18 24.196343 40.190764 59.813138 84.619605 114.265483 147.829338 188.031604
2026-01-25 21.164150 37.595680 58.346540 85.099240 117.535382 154.655755 199.497911
2026-02-01 18.070466 34.587814 56.109488 84.426250 119.261871 159.554873 208.634587
2026-02-08 15.629281 32.215220 54.486519 84.346095 121.563960 165.019001 218.333483
2026-02-15 13.187450 29.568162 52.304144 83.398434 122.681023 168.984429 226.203454
2026-02-22 11.750542 28.267844 51.816984 84.526723 126.276762 175.840352 237.415416
2026-03-01 10.580896 27.254262 51.635727 85.984809 130.232482 183.092909 249.071013
2026-03-08 8.813395 25.074608 49.715804 85.103607 131.248600 186.830976 256.626544
2026-03-15 7.039208 22.618664 47.232225 83.346590 131.067960 189.057088 262.340991
2026-03-22 6.698570 22.719194 48.486207 86.629792 137.304493 199.099786 277.391900
2026-03-29 6.030932 22.107960 48.621230 88.347867 141.509766 206.644113 289.445038
2026-04-05 4.967771 20.540614 47.197642 87.840504 142.787048 210.551073 297.096857
2026-04-12 4.048947 19.091687 45.856208 87.374010 144.063441 214.418124 304.671050
2026-04-19 3.408763 18.131166 45.223612 87.862201 146.558211 219.775744 314.036209
2026-04-26 2.672885 16.754976 43.818133 87.177179 147.455802 223.107314 320.913411
2026-05-03 2.123772 15.696873 42.865682 87.095587 149.118936 227.372915 328.912027
2026-05-10 1.557227 14.371718 41.357307 86.130900 149.550857 230.054354 334.945922
2026-05-17 1.290719 13.886552 41.286649 87.279452 152.821050 236.318791 345.378324